Utah Utes Climb FPI Rankings as ESPN Predicts Strong Season

Utah Utes jump into the top tier of ESPN's Football Power Index this preseason, landing at No. 9 overall and No. 3 in the Big 12, according to the latest FPI release on July 10, 2026. The projection puts the Salt Lake City squad ahead of BYU and signals a potential bowl‑eligible run.

How does the FPI rank Utah Utes?

ESPN’s model assigns Utah a 73.4 overall rating, a three‑point edge over BYU’s 70.2. The rating reflects offensive efficiency, defensive stops and strength of schedule, all weighted by a proprietary algorithm. The Utes’ rating improves on last year’s 68.9, suggesting a more balanced roster and better execution on both sides of the ball.

What does the ranking mean for Utah’s Big 12 outlook?

Being third in the conference positions Utah to challenge Texas and Oklahoma for a top‑two slot, which could secure a New Year’s Six bowl invitation. The Utes’ schedule features a home clash with Texas on Oct. 12 and a road test at Oklahoma State on Nov. 5, both listed as high‑impact games in the FPI model. A win in either matchup would likely push Utah into the conference’s elite tier.

Which games will define the season?

The first test arrives on Sept. 4, when Utah travels to face Idaho Vandals. Although Idaho competes in the FCS, the game offers a chance to fine‑tune the offense before conference play begins. After that, the Utes host BYU on Sept. 21, a rivalry that the FPI rates as a 2.5‑point swing in Utah’s favor. Success in these early contests should cement the Utes’ confidence heading into the tougher stretch.

Who are the players driving the FPI boost?

Quarterback Cameron Rising returns after a breakout junior year, posting a 312.5 passer rating last season. Defensive end Zachary Hodge leads the line with 9.5 sacks, ranking second in the conference. Both athletes received higher individual FPI scores, contributing to the team’s overall rise.

What should fans watch for moving forward?

Keep an eye on the offensive line’s ability to protect Rising against Big 12 blitz packages. The secondary’s turnover rate will also be a factor; the Utes forced 18 interceptions last year, a number the FPI model flags as a strong predictor of future success. If those trends continue, Utah could finish the regular season with a 9‑3 record.

And the season’s narrative will hinge on whether the Utes can translate the statistical edge into wins against the conference’s powerhouses. The FPI projection is optimistic, but every game will test the depth and resilience of this Utah squad.